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Dr. B oris V aillant - Quantitative Consulting

[Business analytics] [Project examples]

Forecasting daily sales

  • Goals
    • Detailed prediction of sales for the following weeks
    • Support operative planning
    • Improve resource allocation
    • Reduce costs
  • Inputs
    • Daily sales data for the last 3 years
    • Data about external influences
      • Holidays, Vacation
      • Price changes
      • Large (non-recurring) orders
    • Workshops / Internal discussions about
      • Business logic underlying the development
      • Estimated importance of the different influence factors
      • Special effects that need to be filtered out
  • Results
    • Forecast model for daily sales
    • Diagnostic: How good is the model, when to be careful with the results
    • Integration into a planning report
    • Implementation of a process for usage or overruling of forecasted planning figures
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